NBA Ledger every graded pick · week by week
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until Opening Night · Oct 21, 2026
No graded 2026-27 NBA picks yet — model is validated on the 2024-25 backtest.
Bad Bets NBA v0.1 (Bayesian net-rating + pace + rest/back-to-back + Vegas line blend). The ledger fills in here after each night's slate is graded, starting Opening Night Oct 21.
Bad Bets NBA v0.1 (Bayesian net-rating + pace + rest/back-to-back + Vegas line blend). The ledger fills in here after each night's slate is graded, starting Opening Night Oct 21.
What this page will show
- Every Bad Bets NBA pick from opening night onward
- Side taken (spread / moneyline / total) + actual game result
- WIN / LOSS / PUSH tag with running record
- Date filter + season totals (ATS%, ROI, lock record)
- AGREE vs FLIP split — does flipping Vegas actually pay?
- Best + worst weeks of the season highlighted