NCAAF Stats season performance · ATS · ROI · trends
🏆 Season Leaders top 25 · updated daily
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until Week 1 kickoff · Aug 23, 2026
CFB edge model v0.1 — backtest pending.
SP+-inspired adjusted-margin model with opponent SoS, returning production, home field, and Vegas line blend. Backtest against 2023 + 2024 + 2025 results drops in late July.
Live 2026 stats start populating after Week 0 (Aug 23).
SP+-inspired adjusted-margin model with opponent SoS, returning production, home field, and Vegas line blend. Backtest against 2023 + 2024 + 2025 results drops in late July.
Live 2026 stats start populating after Week 0 (Aug 23).
What this page will show
- Season ATS record + units won/lost
- By-tier breakdown (Lock / Strong / Solid / Lean)
- AGREE vs FLIP split-out
- Home / away / favorite / underdog cuts
- Calibration curve — does the model's "65% confidence" actually hit 65%?
- Best + worst weeks, hot/cold streaks