NFL Ledger every graded pick · week by week
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until Week 1 kickoff · Sept 4, 2026
No graded 2026 picks yet — model is validated on 2024-25 backtest.
NFL v0.2 hit 55.2% ATS (+5.4% ROI) and 58.9% moneyline (+6.4% ROI) walking the 2024 season. The ledger fills in here after each Sunday's slate is graded starting Week 1.
NFL v0.2 hit 55.2% ATS (+5.4% ROI) and 58.9% moneyline (+6.4% ROI) walking the 2024 season. The ledger fills in here after each Sunday's slate is graded starting Week 1.
What this page will show
- Every Bad Bets NFL pick from Week 1 onward
- Side taken (spread / moneyline / total) + actual game result
- WIN / LOSS / PUSH tag with running record
- Week filter + season totals (ATS%, ROI, lock record)
- AGREE vs FLIP split — does flipping Vegas actually pay?
- Best + worst weeks of the season highlighted