NFL Stats season performance · ATS · ROI · trends
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until Week 1 kickoff · Sept 4, 2026
NFL edge model v0.2 — validated on 2024-25.
Spread: 55.2% ATS · +5.4% ROI · Moneyline: 58.9% · +6.4% ROI · Brier: 0.209 (FiveThirtyEight-tier calibration).
Live 2026 stats start populating after Week 1.
Spread: 55.2% ATS · +5.4% ROI · Moneyline: 58.9% · +6.4% ROI · Brier: 0.209 (FiveThirtyEight-tier calibration).
Live 2026 stats start populating after Week 1.
What this page will show
- Season ATS record + units won/lost
- By-tier breakdown (Lock / Strong / Solid / Lean)
- AGREE vs FLIP split-out
- Home / away / favorite / underdog cuts
- Calibration curve — does the model's "65% confidence" actually hit 65%?
- Best + worst weeks, hot/cold streaks